Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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