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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
48.14% ( 0.11) | 25.37% ( -0.02) | 26.48% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( 0.03) | 51.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( 0.03) | 72.95% ( -0.03) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.06) | 21.24% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% ( 0.09) | 54.15% ( -0.09) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( -0.05) | 33.95% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( -0.05) | 70.62% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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