MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 18:02:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Southampton logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Southampton

Paterson (40')
Fulton (45+2'), Darling (78')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Adams (6'), Smallbone (20'), Downes (45')
Harwood-Bellis (17'), Charles (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Southampton

 With a new head coach at the helm, Swansea will relish the chance to put on a show against the division's form side. However, we feel that Southampton will continue on their merry way, extending their prolonged unbeaten run with a hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSouthampton
34.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 23.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.71% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.69% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.04% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)22.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56.53% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.36% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.14% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 34.61%
    Southampton 41.71%
    Draw 23.68%
Swansea CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82%
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.71%

How you voted: Swansea vs Southampton

Swansea City
2.3%
Draw
16.3%
Southampton
81.4%
43
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Southampton
5-0
Swansea
Aribo (17'), Edozie (48'), Fraser (74', 87'), Adams (90+3')
Bednarek (34'), Aribo (38')

Cullen (24'), Tymon (55'), Fulton (56'), Allen (83')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Third Round
Swansea
2-3
Southampton
Piroe (77'), Bednarek (94' og.)
Bennett (43'), Cooper (45+1'), Walsh (59'), Dhanda (90+3')
Redmond (8'), Elyounoussi (95'), Long (102')
Valery (3')
Valery (30')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Swansea
1-3
Southampton
Salisu (13' og.)
Tella (14'), Redmond (22'), Armstrong (57')
Aug 29, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Southampton
7-1
Swansea
Adams (6'), Redmond (13'), Ings (20', 42'), Ward-Prowse (34', 45'), Bertrand (35')
Fulton (110')
May 8, 2018 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Southampton

Sung-yueng (20'), Fernandez (94')
Gabbiadini (72')
Romeu (38')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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