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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
3 - 0
Stoke

Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Stoke City

 This has the feel of a game that will be regarded as 'must not lose' by both sides, and that is what we believe will transpire. A point apiece would keep things ticking over for both sides, so a low-scoring draw would not come as any great surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
41.68% (0.108 0.11) 24.87% (0.038 0.04) 33.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.59% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.201 -0.2)67.92% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.86% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.058 -0.06)55.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.191 -0.19)26.27% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.256 -0.26)61.38% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.68%
    Stoke City 33.45%
    Draw 24.87%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
50.9%
Draw
29.8%
Stoke City
19.3%
57
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Whittaker (2')
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311
> Championship Full Table


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