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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
3 - 0
Stoke

Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Stoke City

This has the feel of a game that will be regarded as 'must not lose' by both sides, and that is what we believe will transpire. A point apiece would keep things ticking over for both sides, so a low-scoring draw would not come as any great surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
41.68% (0.108 0.11) 24.87% (0.038 0.04) 33.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.59% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.201 -0.2)67.92% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.86% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.058 -0.06)55.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.191 -0.19)26.27% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.256 -0.26)61.38% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.68%
    Stoke City 33.45%
    Draw 24.87%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
50.9%
Draw
29.8%
Stoke City
19.3%
57
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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