Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea2 - 0Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 1-1 Cardiff City
Swansea have struggled in recent matches but should be raring to fight during a South Wales derby in front of their own supporters at the Swansea.com Stadium. Cardiff are threatening a serious top-six push following four-straight wins, but we feel that the Bluebirds will be forced to share the points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
43.17% ( 0.02) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 31.21% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.06) | 49.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.05) | 71.63% ( 0.06) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.02) | 22.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.02) | 56.63% ( 0.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.05) | 29.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0.06) | 65.71% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 43.17%
Cardiff City 31.21%
Draw 25.62%
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.21% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff
Swansea City
39.7%Draw
34.5%Cardiff City
25.9%58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
