MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 05:35:47| >> :120:70139:70139:
Thailand national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)
South Korea national football team

Thailand
0 - 3
South Korea


Hemviboon (59'), Mickelson (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jae-sung (19'), Heung-min (54'), Park (82')
Kyu-Sung (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Thailand and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Thailand 1-3 South Korea

Thailand upset the odds to come away with a hard-fought point last time out, but Tuesday's hosts are expected to be in for another tough test here. We are backing South Korea to come out on top in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Thailand win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
ThailandDrawSouth Korea
23.67% (-0.304 -0.3) 22.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 53.48% (0.375 0.38)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-0.25 -0.25)31.75% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.289 -0.29)68.18% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.134 0.13)15.95% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77% (0.245 0.25)45.22% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Thailand 23.67%
    South Korea 53.48%
    Draw 22.84%
ThailandDrawSouth Korea
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.67%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.53% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.48%

How you voted: Thailand vs South Korea

Thailand
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
South Korea
58.3%
48
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 11am
Second Round
South Korea
1-1
Thailand
Heung-min (42')
Mueanta (61')
Thongsong (11')
rhs 2.0
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