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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
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Montpellier
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Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Le Havre

Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Havre

Babicka (70'), Gboho (86')
J (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangante (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre

 While Le Havre have reason to be confident heading into this contest, respect must be given to the home side who have only lost out to free-scoring Marseille. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge this encounter, kick-starting their season in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
41.24% (-0.307 -0.31) 27.75% (0.153 0.15) 31.01% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.63% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.508 -0.51)58.04% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.401 -0.4)78.72% (0.40100000000001 0.4)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.405 -0.41)27.68% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.524 -0.52)63.23% (0.52699999999999 0.53)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.155 -0.16)34.13% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.168 -0.17)70.83% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 41.23%
    Le Havre 31.01%
    Draw 27.74%
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Le Havre

Toulouse
65.7%
Draw
25.7%
Le Havre
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Le Havre
1-0
Toulouse
Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')

Keben (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Toulouse
1-2
Le Havre
Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')
Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
4-0
Le Havre
Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Toulouse
Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')
Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')
May 4, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 34
Le Havre
0-1
Toulouse

Bonnet (4'), Lekhal (69'), Boutaib (89')
Bonnet (60')
Kone (28')
van den Boomen (47'), Gabrielsen (70'), Spierings (77'), Dewaest (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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