Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Girona |
35.39% ( -0.07) | 27.75% ( 0.01) | 36.86% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( -0.05) | 57.34% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( -0.04) | 78.16% ( 0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.07) | 30.79% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.08) | 67.07% ( 0.08) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% ( 0.01) | 29.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.03% ( 0.01) | 65.97% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |