Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Casa Pia
Buoyed by their victory over Arouca, Casa Pia will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on a well-drilled Vitoria de Guimaraes side who must avoid any more slip-ups in their quest for European football. Casa Pia have struggled to impose themselves on the road and we are tipping Guimaraes to return to winning ways in front of their home supporters.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.48% . A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 13.34% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.76%) .
Result Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Casa Pia 66.48% ( -0.18) 20.18% ( 0.08) 13.34% ( 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.02)
52.68% ( -0.12) 47.32% ( 0.11)
30.46% ( -0.11) 69.54% ( 0.1)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
86.66% ( -0.09) 13.34% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.78% ( -0.18) 40.21% ( 0.18)
53.7% ( 0.08) 46.3% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 18.05% ( 0.06) 81.95% ( -0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 66.48%
Casa Pia 13.34%
Draw 20.18%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Casa Pia 2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 66.48% 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.18% 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.34%
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Casa Pia
Vitoria de Guimaraes
93.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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