Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
37.25% ( 1.02) | 24.55% ( 0.24) | 38.21% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( -1.08) | 43.52% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% ( -1.07) | 65.92% ( 1.07) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0.05) | 23.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( 0.08) | 57.04% ( -0.07) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -1.1) | 22.67% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% ( -1.67) | 56.32% ( 1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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