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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Estoril

Vizela
3 - 3
Estoril

Essende (26', 36'), Lebedenko (90+5')
Essende (26'), Pereira (88'), Lebedenko (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marques (83'), Zanocelo (85'), Guitane (90+3')
Mangala (16'), Figueira (90+5'), Tavares (90+3'), Parra (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Estoril Praia

Vizela and Estoril Praia find themselves at the wrong end of the table and we expect them to go all out in search of all three points. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VizelaDrawEstoril Praia
37.25% (1.024 1.02) 24.55% (0.241 0.24) 38.21% (-1.263 -1.26)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-1.078 -1.08)43.52% (1.08 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (-1.069 -1.07)65.92% (1.071 1.07)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)23.17% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.076000000000001 0.08)57.04% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.101 -1.1)22.67% (1.104 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-1.667 -1.67)56.32% (1.671 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 37.25%
    Estoril Praia 38.21%
    Draw 24.54%
VizelaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.369 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Vizela vs Estoril

Vizela
50.0%
Draw
35.0%
Estoril Praia
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Estoril
2-2
Vizela
Guitane (53'), Vital (67')
Vital (47')
Essende (62'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Lacava (37'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Mar 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Estoril
0-3
Vizela
Osmajic (15'), Joaozinho (41' og.), Silva (83')
Sep 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Vizela
0-1
Estoril
Erison (28')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Estoril
1-2
Vizela
Acevedo (35')
Xavier (88'), Silva (90+6')
Bondoso (16', 63')
Mendez (73'), Claudemir (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Vizela
1-1
Estoril
Samu (53')
Zag (28'), Afonso (90+4')
Clovis (68')
Acevedo (50'), Joaozinho (87'), Ferraresi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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