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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
46.85% ( -1.3) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 28.09% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( 1.08) | 48.79% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( 0.98) | 70.89% ( -0.97) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( -0.12) | 20.86% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% ( -0.19) | 53.55% ( 0.19) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 1.62) | 31.48% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 1.83) | 67.86% ( -1.82) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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