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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
50.64% ( 0.4) | 22.56% ( 0.03) | 26.8% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.61% ( -0.49) | 38.38% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.33% ( -0.52) | 60.67% ( 0.52) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.62% ( -0.04) | 15.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.83% ( -0.07) | 44.17% ( 0.07) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -0.56) | 27.01% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.73) | 62.36% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |