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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
61.62% ( 0.93) | 21.16% ( -0.25) | 17.22% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( -0.08) | 44% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( -0.08) | 66.38% ( 0.07) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% ( 0.26) | 13.75% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.96% ( 0.51) | 41.04% ( -0.52) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.01% ( -0.86) | 38.98% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% ( -0.82) | 75.71% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |