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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Morecambe

Walsall
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tierney (13'), Matt (26'), Adegboyega (65')
Comley (23'), Gordon (58'), Knowles (62'), Earing (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brannan (24'), Stokes (53'), Tutonda (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-1 Morecambe

Morecambe would do well to cause chaos with long throws into the Walsall box, but the Saddlers are an extremely tough nut to crack at Banks's Stadium and have all the motivation they need to succeed on Tuesday. The visitors' penchant for goalscoring on the road should still help them to a degree, as will their superior head-to-head record, but we are finding it impossible to separate the two outfits on this occasion; a third successive 1-1 for Walsall could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawMorecambe
46.85% (-1.3 -1.3) 25.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 28.09% (1.354 1.35)
Both teams to score 54.23% (1.197 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (1.084 1.08)48.79% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (0.976 0.98)70.89% (-0.97200000000001 -0.97)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.119 -0.12)20.86% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.189 -0.19)53.55% (0.192 0.19)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (1.617 1.62)31.48% (-1.611 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (1.826 1.83)67.86% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 46.85%
    Morecambe 28.09%
    Draw 25.06%
WalsallDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Walsall vs Morecambe

Walsall
39.3%
Draw
35.7%
Morecambe
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Morecambe
2-1
Walsall
Major (25'), Rawson (90+2')
Love (34'), Adams (35'), Songo'o (38'), McKiernan (48'), Rawson (90+3'), Bedeau (90+5'), Slew (90+11')
Johnson (38')
Riley (37'), McEntee (45+1'), Hutchinson (86'), Johnson (90+5')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe
Stockton (45+2'), Songo'o (76')
Songo'o (58')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Morecambe
1-1
Walsall
Mendes Gomes (80')
Stockton (40'), Lavelle (79'), Hendrie (88')
Gordon (37')
Jules (40')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe

Gordon (45')
Old (68'), Mendes Gomes (96')
Slew (45'), Mendes Gomes (77'), Mbulu (89')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
0-1
Walsall

Old (79')
Sinclair (4')
Liddle (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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