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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
46.85% ( -1.3) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 28.09% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( 1.08) | 48.79% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( 0.98) | 70.89% ( -0.97) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( -0.12) | 20.86% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% ( -0.19) | 53.55% ( 0.19) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 1.62) | 31.48% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 1.83) | 67.86% ( -1.82) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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