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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich

Though Werder Bremen have proven capable defensively this season, it is difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet given the rampant form of the visitors in front of goal. Fresh from their win in the Champions League, Bayern will be full of confidence and should be strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.49% (0.173 0.17) 17.4% (0.115 0.11) 67.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-0.184 -0.18)29.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-0.227 -0.23)50.4% (0.233 0.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.09 0.09)68.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.101 -0.1)8.13% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)28.53% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.49%
    Bayern Munich 67.11%
    Draw 17.4%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
12.3%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
81.6%
114
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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