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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
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Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Bayern

Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Bayern Munich

 Bayern's recent successful exploits against Hoffenheim should count for nought on Saturday, as Tuchel will have to put out a makeshift attack and has overseen several dismal defensive displays on the road of late. As such, the former champions' season seems destined to end on a sour note against Champions League-chasing Hoffenheim, who will then be forced to play the waiting game to learn their European fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
30.51% (-2.422 -2.42) 19.26% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 50.23% (2.489 2.49)
Both teams to score 77.54% (-1.147 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.63% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)19.37% (0.941 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.81% (-1.365 -1.36)37.19% (1.37 1.37)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-1.485 -1.49)15% (1.489 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (-2.896 -2.9)43.45% (2.902 2.9)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.22% (0.245 0.25)8.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.583 0.58)30.15% (-0.577 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.51%
    Bayern Munich 50.23%
    Draw 19.26%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-3 @ 1.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 30.51%
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-1 @ 6.08% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 3.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.32% (0.098 0.1)
4-4 @ 1.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.26%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.334 0.33)
2-3 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.371 0.37)
1-4 @ 3.65% (0.241 0.24)
2-4 @ 3.46% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.272 0.27)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.332 0.33)
3-4 @ 2.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.221 0.22)
1-5 @ 1.77% (0.135 0.14)
2-5 @ 1.68% (0.043 0.04)
3-5 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
36.6%
Draw
17.6%
Bayern Munich
45.8%
153
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Hoffenheim
0-2
Bayern
Musiala (18'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (38')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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