MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 10:35:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 4
Bayern


Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Viktoria Koln 3-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Although they made a rare slip-up last weekend, Bayern's squad seems more formidable than ever, as a host of internationals jostle just for a place on the bench. If they can click into gear quickly, feeding Harry Kane with the right service, goals are sure to follow - therefore, a 15th straight win at Weserstadion surely awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
22.54% (-2.405 -2.41) 20.6% (-0.856 -0.86) 56.86% (3.259 3.26)
Both teams to score 63.98% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (1.424 1.42)33.34% (-1.426 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (1.612 1.61)55.12% (-1.614 -1.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-1.072 -1.07)27.5% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (-1.404 -1.4)63% (1.401 1.4)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (1.409 1.41)11.74% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.1% (2.94 2.94)36.9% (-2.941 -2.94)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 22.54%
    Bayern Munich 56.86%
    Draw 20.6%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.455 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.393 0.39)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.453 0.45)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 3.66% (0.393 0.39)
0-4 @ 2.83% (0.38 0.38)
2-4 @ 2.36% (0.189 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.218 0.22)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.86%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
9.9%
Draw
11.0%
Bayern Munich
79.1%
91
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
> Match Report
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
1-1
Werder Bremen
Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
0-1
Bayern
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!