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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

 While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 48.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.035000000000004 0.04)54.94% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.53%
    Holstein Kiel 48.56%
    Draw 21.91%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel

Werder Bremen
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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