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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Freiburg


Malatini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (75')
Eggestein (36'), Osterhage (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

Given the hosts have struggled to create many big chances this season, they could struggle to produce many opportunities once more on Saturday. However, Freiburg were poor in the final third last time out, and it would therefore not be a surprise if their clash against Werder Bremen was ultimately low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
33.58% (-0.442 -0.44) 25.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 40.61% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)49.7% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.035 -0.04)71.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.294 -0.29)28.17% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.376 -0.38)63.86% (0.379 0.38)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)24.19% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.308 0.31)58.52% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.58%
    Freiburg 40.61%
    Draw 25.8%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.58%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
42.6%
Draw
29.8%
Freiburg
27.7%
47
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
3-1
Freiburg
Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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