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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Considering Holstein Kiel's poor form this season and their defensive frailty, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Bayer Leverkusen also boast an exceptional home record, and it would not be surprising if they managed to score multiple goals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
64.52% (-2.438 -2.44) 18.37% (0.869 0.87) 17.11% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (-1.167 -1.17)30.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (-1.399 -1.4)52.27% (1.401 1.4)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.845 -0.84)9.11% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-2.067 -2.07)30.93% (2.069 2.07)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (1 1)31.08% (-0.999 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (1.152 1.15)67.4% (-1.15 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
    Holstein Kiel 17.11%
    Draw 18.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.36 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Holstein Kiel
3.8%
80
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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