Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.83% ( -2.02) | 24.51% ( 0.27) | 45.66% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -2.15) | 45.4% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -2.09) | 67.73% ( 2.1) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -2.38) | 28.49% ( 2.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -3.09) | 64.27% ( 3.1) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0.12) | 19.99% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( -0.2) | 52.17% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
2 | Arsenal | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Chelsea | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 35 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 32 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 31 |
7 | Bournemouth | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Fulham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
9 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 24 |
12 | Brentford | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 24 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Everton | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 39 | -27 | 6 |
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