Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.