We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Cheltenham Town
Playing at Adams Park for the first time since securing their place at Wembley in April, there should be a feel-good factor around Wycombe on Tuesday night, and they should be confident of earning three points.
Cheltenham had to grind out the point at Wigan on the weekend in a valiant defensive display, but we feel that the Robins will be unable to repeat the trick in Buckinghamshire.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.