Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa
Wednesday, October 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Wednesday, October 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Puebla
Wednesday, October 23 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Wednesday, October 23 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
28.96% ( -0.15) | 24.67% ( -0.02) | 46.37% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
