Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.