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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Montpellier

Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have had their struggles defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in three of their domestic road fixtures this season. As poor as Les Monegasques were defensively last Friday, we expect their quality attacking players to take their frustrations out on La Paillade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
58.1% (0.882 0.88) 21.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 20.68% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (1.365 1.37)38.86% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (1.422 1.42)61.18% (-1.421 -1.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.71499999999999 0.71)13.16% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.428 1.43)39.85% (-1.428 -1.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.351 0.35)32.29% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.395 0.4)68.79% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.1%
    Montpellier HSC 20.68%
    Draw 21.22%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 3% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
90.9%
Draw
6.1%
Montpellier HSC
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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