Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
31.91% ( -0.7) | 27% ( 0.26) | 41.09% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( -1.21) | 54.98% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -1.01) | 76.25% ( 1.01) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( -1.09) | 31.91% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.64% ( -1.27) | 68.35% ( 1.27) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.67% ( -0.32) | 26.33% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.53% ( -0.43) | 61.47% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |