Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.7% ( 0.02) | 20.57% ( 0.02) | 62.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% ( -0.04) | 42.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% ( -0.05) | 64.68% ( 0.05) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% | 38.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( -0) | 75.32% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.02) | 12.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( -0.05) | 39.28% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.7% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |