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Nantes
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest logo

Nantes
2 - 0
Brest

Blas (25', 53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brassier (33'), Herelle (51'), Chardonnet (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nantes 2-1 Brest

 Both sides have the momentum of a win at the weekend to work with, but Nantes have home advantage and an impressive recent record against Les Pirates. Therefore, we are backing them to secure a spot in the quarter-finals, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawBrest
43.6%25.72%30.68%
Both teams to score 53.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77%50.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81%72.19%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47%66.54%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 43.6%
    Brest 30.68%
    Draw 25.72%
NantesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.68%

How you voted: Nantes vs Brest

Nantes
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Brest
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Nantes
3-1
Brest
Blas (27'), Chirivella (55'), Brassier (58' og.)
Castelletto (31')
Le Douaron (67')
Chardonnet (52'), Brassier (85')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Brest
1-4
Nantes
Simon (15'), Blas (27'), Louza (56'), Coulibaly (62' pen.), Faivre (83')
Larsonneur (61'), Charbonnier (89')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nantes
3-1
Brest
Kolo (16'), Blas (30'), Bamba (79')
Abeid (38'), Da Silva (47'), Pallois (67')
Faivre (68')
Duverne (42'), Magnetti (60')
> Preview
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
P-P
Brest
Nov 23, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
1-1
Nantes
Cardona (68')
Bain (18'), Charbonnier (40')
Coulibaly (31')
Basila (7')
rhs 2.0
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