Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG4 - 1Lille
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Lille
PSG have thrashed almost all oncomers in 2025, and even impressive outfits Monaco and Brest have suffered sobering beatings here of late, illustrating the task ahead of Lille. Genesio could also prioritise the trip to Germany on Tuesday, meaning just a third defeat in 15 league games could be on the cards for the visitors, while PSG will expect to notch a 19th win in 20 matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Lille has a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lille win it is 1-2 (4.15%).
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
66.73% ( -0.39) | 18.7% ( 0.41) | 14.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( -1.99) | 37.86% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.9% ( -2.16) | 60.11% ( 2.16) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( -0.64) | 10.5% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.83% ( -1.47) | 34.18% ( 1.48) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( -1.28) | 38.55% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.7% ( -1.25) | 75.3% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain 66.73%
Lille 14.58%
Draw 18.7%
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)Other @ 4.62% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.94% Total : 14.58% |
How you voted: PSG vs Lille
Paris Saint-Germain
88.6%Draw
10.0%Lille
1.4%70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-3
PSG
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
