Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon2 - 2Auxerre
We said: Lyon 3-1 Auxerre
After a stuttering start to the season, Lyon seem to now be in top gear in the league competition, and they will undoubtedly see this as a fixture in which they should be taking all three points. Given Auxerre's dismal away from this season, it is difficult to make much of an argument against a win for the hosts in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
55.16% ( 0.52) | 21.8% ( -0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.29) | 38.55% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.31) | 60.85% ( -0.31) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( 0.27) | 13.95% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.52) | 41.43% ( -0.52) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.15) | 30.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.18) | 66.13% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 55.16%
Auxerre 23.04%
Draw 21.8%
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.04% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre
Lyon
86.5%Draw
11.5%Auxerre
1.9%52
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
