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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nantes

Lille
2 - 0
Nantes

David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

 Without their number one goalkeeper, Nantes' hopes of ending a dismal stretch of away form - as well as their lengthy winless run against Lille - are surely slim to none this weekend. Fonseca's men turned the Stade Pierre-Mauroy into a fortress last season, and they should find a way to break down the defensive Nantes setup en route to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
63.96% (0.344 0.34) 20.26% (-0.169 -0.17) 15.77% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.423 0.42)42.66% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.94% (0.417 0.42)65.06% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (0.22699999999999 0.23)12.65% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (0.469 0.47)38.79% (-0.47 -0.47)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)76.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lille 63.96%
    Nantes 15.77%
    Draw 20.26%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.77%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Nantes
0.0%
19
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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