MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:32:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nice

Lille
2 - 1
Nice

Arnar Haraldsson (48'), Diakite (63')
Andre (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diop (29')
Clauss (42'), Boudaoui (83'), Ndombele (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bastia 0-1 Nice
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 1-1 Nice

 Two unstoppable forces in Ligue 1 meet here, with Lille unbeaten in 20 games, and Nice in the best of form of any club not named Paris Saint-Germain in the division. Neither side will be content with a cagey encounter, but there is very little to separate the two, so yet another draw in this fixture is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNice
44.34% (-0.496 -0.5) 25.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 30.5% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (0.175 0.17)47.88% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.161 0.16)70.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.152 -0.15)21.6% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (-0.234 -0.23)54.7% (0.236 0.24)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.42399999999999 0.42)29.28% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.517 0.52)65.24% (-0.515 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Lille 44.34%
    Nice 30.5%
    Draw 25.15%
LilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.115 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: Lille vs Nice

Lille
57.1%
Draw
32.5%
Nice
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nice
2-2
Lille
Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')
M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')
> Preview
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')
Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Nice
1-0
Lille
Laborde (34')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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