MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:18:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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AJ Auxerre
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Lille
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nice

Lille
2 - 1
Nice

Arnar Haraldsson (48'), Diakite (63')
Andre (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diop (29')
Clauss (42'), Boudaoui (83'), Ndombele (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bastia 0-1 Nice
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 1-1 Nice

 Two unstoppable forces in Ligue 1 meet here, with Lille unbeaten in 20 games, and Nice in the best of form of any club not named Paris Saint-Germain in the division. Neither side will be content with a cagey encounter, but there is very little to separate the two, so yet another draw in this fixture is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNice
44.34% (-0.496 -0.5) 25.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 30.5% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (0.175 0.17)47.88% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.161 0.16)70.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.152 -0.15)21.6% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (-0.234 -0.23)54.7% (0.236 0.24)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.42399999999999 0.42)29.28% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.517 0.52)65.24% (-0.515 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Lille 44.34%
    Nice 30.5%
    Draw 25.15%
LilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.115 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: Lille vs Nice

Lille
57.1%
Draw
32.5%
Nice
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nice
2-2
Lille
Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')
M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')
> Preview
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')
Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Nice
1-0
Lille
Laborde (34')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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