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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lorient logo

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lorient

Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient

 The hosts have not fared too well against Lorient at home in the recent past, winning just one of their previous four Ligue 1 games here, but there have been 19 goals in those previous meetings. Lorient's goal-laden season at both ends may therefore continue in a close encounter which will likely end level, especially considering the visitor's record of just one win in 16 away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLorient
50.38% (1.434 1.43) 24.35% (0.17 0.17) 25.27% (-1.603 -1.6)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-2.034 -2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-1.998 -2)47.79% (2.001 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-1.868 -1.87)69.98% (1.87 1.87)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.203 -0.2)18.99% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.341 -0.34)50.54% (0.343 0.34)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-2.337 -2.34)33.17% (2.34 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-2.664 -2.66)69.77% (2.666 2.67)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.38%
    Lorient 25.27%
    Draw 24.34%
ToulouseDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.777 0.78)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.595 0.6)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.299 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.508 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lorient

Toulouse
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Lorient
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Lorient
0-1
Toulouse
Aboukhlal (68')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Marveaux (60')
Le Goff (26'), Majeed Waris (47')
Delort (24')
Toivonen (71'), Diop (75')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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