Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
34.73% ( -1.6) | 25.33% | 39.93% ( 1.6) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.18) | 47.4% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -0.16) | 69.62% ( 0.16) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% ( -1) | 26.36% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( -1.36) | 61.5% ( 1.36) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0.75) | 23.51% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( 1.08) | 57.55% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |