Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille6 - 1Toulouse
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 2-0 Toulouse
Though Marseille have won only one of their last four Ligue 1 home games, they have been presented with a favourable fixture to kick off their post-Christmas campaign and can take maximum points on Thursday. A lack of goals has seen Toulouse toil on the road, and they have already lost to several other top-flight heavyweights this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
54.31% ( -0.14) | 22.27% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
