Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 35.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
40.16% ( -6.42) | 24.1% ( 0.41) | 35.74% ( 6.01) |
Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.48% ( 0.18) | 41.51% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.09% ( 0.18) | 63.91% ( -0.18) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( -2.7) | 20.83% ( 2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( -4.42) | 53.51% ( 4.42) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% ( 3.65) | 23.05% ( -3.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.13% ( 5.08) | 56.87% ( -5.08) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.65) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.73) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -1.15) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.77) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.93) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.49) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.9) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.95) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.67) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |