Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Troyes |
| 30.04% | 26.52% | 43.44% |
| Both teams to score 50.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% | 53.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% | 75.22% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% | 32.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.87% | 69.13% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% | 24.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.96% | 59.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 30.04%
Troyes 43.43%
Draw 26.51%
| Metz | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.43% |
How you voted: Metz vs Troyes
Metz
80.0%Draw
17.5%Troyes
2.5%40
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2019
12am
Aug 24, 2018 7pm
Feb 17, 2018 7pm
