Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Troyes |
40.62% | 27.63% | 31.75% |
Both teams to score 48.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.61% | 57.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.79% | 78.2% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% | 27.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% | 63.27% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% | 33.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% | 69.88% |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |