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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Nantes

Nice
1 - 1
Nantes

Pepe (90+6' pen.)
Todibo (60'), Bryan (68'), Bard (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ganago (49')
Kombouare (76'), Sissoko (84'), Lafont (90+3'), Lafont (90+8'), Moutoussamy (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Nantes

Nice are not exactly on cloud nine right now, and their attacking capabilities have taken a hit with the loss of Delort, but Dante's return to the backline could prove invaluable in their defensive efforts. While Nantes' efforts from last weekend are to be rightly applauded, all four of their goals came from Brest errors, and they will not get much change out of Nice in that regard. With Kombouare's side stil looking vulnerable at the back, we think that a score draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
56.9% (-0.061 -0.06) 23.36% (0.0039999999999978 0) 19.73% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.057000000000002 0.06)49.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)71.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)17.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)39.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.087 0.09)76.09% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.89%
    Nantes 19.73%
    Draw 23.36%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.73%

How you voted: Nice vs Nantes

Nice
67.6%
Draw
17.6%
Nantes
14.7%
34
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 8pm
Nice
0-1
Nantes

Todibo (42'), Boudaoui (55'), Dante (79'), Lemina (90+3')
Blas (47' pen.)
Kolo (90+3')
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Nice
2-1
Nantes
Dolberg (21' pen.), Thuram (56')
Dante (44'), Amavi (64')
Girotto (45')
Sylla (15')
Sep 12, 2021 4pm
Nantes
0-2
Nice

Girotto (31'), Da Silva (51')
Dolberg (75'), Gouiri (80')
Boudaoui (33'), Lemina (64'), Dante (65')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-2
Nice
Toure (32')
Pallois (43')
Dolberg (11' pen., 29')
Maolida (61'), Benitez (72')
Oct 3, 2020 8pm
Nice
2-1
Nantes
Dante (27'), Thuram (62')
Thuram (28'), Pelmard (45+5')
Louza (45+5' pen.)
Pallois (56')
Girotto (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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