Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Nice1 - 1Nantes
We said: Nice 1-1 Nantes
Nice are not exactly on cloud nine right now, and their attacking capabilities have taken a hit with the loss of Delort, but Dante's return to the backline could prove invaluable in their defensive efforts. While Nantes' efforts from last weekend are to be rightly applauded, all four of their goals came from Brest errors, and they will not get much change out of Nice in that regard. With Kombouare's side stil looking vulnerable at the back, we think that a score draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
56.9% ( -0.06) | 23.36% ( 0) | 19.73% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 0.06) | 49.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( 0.05) | 71.59% ( -0.05) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0) | 17.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0) | 47.48% ( 0) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( 0.09) | 39.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.9% ( 0.09) | 76.09% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 56.89%
Nantes 19.73%
Draw 23.36%
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.73% |
How you voted: Nice vs Nantes
Nice
67.6%Draw
17.6%Nantes
14.7%34
Head to Head
