Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match.