Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
36.51% ( 0.21) | 29.27% ( 0.12) | 34.22% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% ( -0.41) | 62.75% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.71% ( -0.3) | 82.29% ( 0.3) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( -0.08) | 32.84% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( -0.09) | 69.4% ( 0.09) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% ( -0.44) | 34.36% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.47) | 71.06% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |