Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes4 - 1Brest
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nantes 2-1 Brest
Nantes have struggled in their previous games but come up against a Brest side who have just changed manager and whilst that could lead to a new manager bounce, the talent of the Nantes side is still there and should be enough to trouble the Brest defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
36.51% ( 0.21) | 29.27% ( 0.12) | 34.22% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.41) | 62.75% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.71% ( -0.3) | 82.29% ( 0.3) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.08) | 32.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.59% ( -0.09) | 69.4% ( 0.09) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.44) | 34.36% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0.47) | 71.06% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 36.51%
Brest 34.22%
Draw 29.26%
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.22% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Brest
Nantes
67.7%Draw
25.8%Brest
6.5%31
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Jan 28, 2022 8pm
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
May 2, 2021 2pm
Brest
1-4
Nantes
Simon (15'), Blas (27'), Louza (56'), Coulibaly (62' pen.), Faivre (83')
Larsonneur (61'), Charbonnier (89')
Larsonneur (61'), Charbonnier (89')
