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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
1 - 1
Nantes

Hakimi (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Nantes

 Despite continental troubles, PSG remain near-perfect in Ligue 1 and should have no problem collecting another three points, doing so with a fourth home clean sheet in seven games at the Parc des Princes so far - the same tally they managed in the whole of last season. Nantes have been absolutely woeful of late, and on paper there are not many bigger mismatches on paper in Europe's top leagues this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.29% (0.117 0.12) 15.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.48% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.375 -0.38)56.41% (0.37 0.37)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)7.89% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.06% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)27.94% (0.133 0.13)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.445 -0.45)43.4% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.377 -0.38)79.63% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.29%
    Nantes 10.14%
    Draw 15.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.57%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.14%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
Nantes
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Nantes
0-2
PSG

Gourvennec (23'), Sissoko (77')
Hernandez (60'), Mbappe (78' pen.)
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSG
2-1
Nantes
Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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