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Marseille
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 8, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Vélodrome
PSG logo

Marseille
2 - 1
PSG

Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Guendouzi (48'), Mbemba (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramos (45+2')
Mendes (64')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Coupe de France last-16 clash with Marseille.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG to win on penalties)

 Marseille's performance against Nice was not one to write home about, but Tudor will welcome several prominent players back to the first XI, and goals have not been a problem for this prolific Olympiens squad - nor should they be against a leaky and depleted PSG backline. PSG cannot always rely on Messi stunners to bail them out amid their injury crisis - which is slowly improving - and we can envisage Marseille holding the injury-hit French champions to a low-scoring draw, but the Parisiens' penalty prowess should see them through to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
27.9% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 21.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 50.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.88% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)23.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)57.6% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)13.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 27.9%
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.44%
    Draw 21.66%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.44%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille
31.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
68.4%
38
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
1-0
Marseille
Neymar (45+1')

Gigot (72')
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
0-0
PSG

Sampaoli (17'), Rongier (18')

Pereira (85'), Marquinhos (85')
Hakimi (57')
Feb 7, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-2
PSG

Gueye (49')
Payet (90+1')
Mbappe (9'), Icardi (24')
Paredes (45+1'), Icardi (53')
Sep 13, 2020 8pm
PSG
0-1
Marseille

Neymar (11'), Florenzi (13'), Bernat (52'), Paredes (72'), di Maria (74')
Kurzawa (90+7'), Paredes (90+7'), Neymar (90+9')
Thauvin (31')
Sakai (7'), Payet (11'), Gueye (38'), Gonzalez (50'), Lopez (61'), Benedetto (71'), Strootman (90+1')
Amavi (90+7'), Benedetto (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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