Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Rennes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
78.56% ( -0.1) | 14.14% ( -0.01) | 7.31% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 44.29% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.33% ( 0.48) | 37.67% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.09% ( 0.52) | 59.91% ( -0.52) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.28% ( 0.09) | 7.72% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.51% ( 0.22) | 27.49% ( -0.23) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48% ( 0.62) | 52% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.99% ( 0.4) | 86% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 78.54% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.14% | 0-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 7.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |