Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
46.71% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( -0.18) | 55.41% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.39% ( -0.15) | 76.6% ( 0.15) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( -0.11) | 23.7% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( -0.16) | 57.82% ( 0.16) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% ( -0.08) | 36.04% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% ( -0.09) | 72.82% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |