We said: Lyon 1-1 Nice
With both Lyon and Nice being forced to cope without one of their key centre-backs on Friday evening, both sets of attackers may be licking their lips, especially with the visitors not as tough a nut to crack as they once were and flattering to deceive on their travels. Les Aiglons are in the podium positions for a reason, though, and while Lyon's revival means that the momentum may be with Sage's men, they will likely be forced to settle for a share of the points this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Nice |
32.28% ( 0.03) | 25.32% ( 0) | 42.4% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% ( -0.01) | 47.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( -0.01) | 70.13% ( 0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 0.02) | 28.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.18% ( 0.02) | 63.82% ( -0.02) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.02) | 22.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.88% ( -0.03) | 56.12% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 32.28%
Nice 42.4%
Draw 25.32%
| Lyon | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.4% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Nice
Lyon
45.8%Draw
32.1%Nice
22.1%131
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
