Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Nice
Despite Nice's impressive record against Toulouse, the Eaglets' only away victory in the last four league visits since 2018 was in February 2020, with two draws and one defeat in that period. The spoils could be shared between both sides on Sunday, thus extending the home side's wait for a league win and seeing Haise's side go back-to-back away matches without maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
41.07% ( -0.16) | 26.29% ( -0.05) | 32.63% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( 0.27) | 51.96% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.23) | 73.71% ( -0.23) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.03) | 24.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.39% ( 0.05) | 59.61% ( -0.05) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.28) | 29.9% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.33) | 65.99% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 41.07%
Nice 32.63%
Draw 26.29%
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.63% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Nice
Toulouse
27.8%Draw
35.2%Nice
37.0%54
