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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
Liverpool logo

Burnley
0 - 1
Liverpool

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fabinho (40')
Henderson (27')

Preview: Burnley vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The title challengers meet the relegation candidates at Turf Moor on Sunday afternoon as Burnley prepare to lock horns with Liverpool in the Premier League.

The Clarets held Manchester United to a 1-1 draw in midweek, while Jurgen Klopp's side eased to a 2-0 victory at home to Leicester City.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche on February 8, 2022© Reuters

To say that new boy Wout Weghorst got the better of Man United's Harry Maguire in midweek would be an understatement, as the 6ft 5in Dutchman made his presence felt at Turf Moor to inspire Burnley to a well-deserved point against Ralf Rangnick's side.

Paul Pogba's smart finish had propelled Man United into the ascendancy, but after Weghorst had spun Maguire all ends up, Jay Rodriguez completed the job to give Burnley something to build on, albeit while also extending their winless run.

The Clarets' COVID-19 clusters have seen them fall further and further behind their relegation rivals, but safety is still within touching distance, as Sean Dyche's 20th-placed crop now sit four points adrift of Newcastle United in 17th having played two games fewer.

Holding Arsenal and Man United to stalemates is no mean feat as Burnley develop a resilient nature of old somewhat, but it is now 10 games without a Premier League win for Dyche's side, whose new-look attack cannot begin firing on all cylinders soon enough.

On a more positive note, Burnley have now strung together a six-game Premier League unbeaten run on their own turf - although five of those encounters have ended with the spoils shared - and Liverpool will not be in any sort of generous mood on Sunday.

Liverpool's manager Jurgen Klopp on February 10, 2022© Reuters

The old guard of Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane have repaid Jurgen Klopp's faith in them for nearly five years now, but Diogo Jota and Luis Diaz's performances against Leicester have seemingly shown that the Reds will be in good hands once the famed trio is broken up.

Diaz caught the eye on his full debut for the club, but it was Jota who bagged the all-important goals on the night, reacting quickly to pounce on a loose ball for his side's first before rounding off the win from Joel Matip's cute pass in the second period.

Only Salah (16) has bagged more Premier League goals this season than the ex-Wolverhampton Wanderers man's 12, as Jota's Liverpool keep Manchester City looking over their shoulder as they remain in second place - nine points behind the champions with a game in hand.

Klopp has the small matter of a Champions League tie with Inter Milan to prepare for next week, but Liverpool will not pass up the opportunity to record a sixth win on the bounce in all competitions this weekend, although they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four Premier League away matches.

Liverpool eased to a 2-0 victory at Anfield over Dyche's side back in August after a romping 3-0 success at Turf Moor in the 2020-21 season, with Dyche's side only managing to win one of their last 10 in the league versus the rampant Reds.

Burnley Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Burnley form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Liverpool and Senegal's Sadio Mane celebrates with the Africa Cup of Nations Player of the Tournament award on February 6, 2022© Reuters

Burnley boss Dyche witnessed the painful sight of Maxwel Cornet being withdrawn due to a thigh problem against Man United, although he played down the issue as cramp, and the attacker should be fine for this one.

Charlie Taylor is closing in on a return from an ankle injury but may not be risked from the start given Erik Pieters's strong midweek showing, while Matej Vydra and Johann Berg Gudmundsson remain out.

Should Cornet be cleared to line up from the off, the former Lyon man will likely occupy his place on the left as Weghorst and Rodriguez aim to produce the goods up top once again.

As for Liverpool, Salah was welcomed back to Anfield with raucous cheers off the bench against Leicester, and Africa Cup of Nations champion Mane could also make his return this week.

Jordan Henderson will play if his back injury does not flare up again, Klopp has confirmed, while Joe Gomez and Divock Origi's absences in midweek were both tactical.

It would not be surprising to see Klopp make a couple of alterations ahead of the clash with Inter, as Harvey Elliott and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain provide options for change in the middle.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Roberts, Mee, Tarkowski, Pieters; McNeil, Westwood, Brownhill, Cornet; Weghorst, Rodriguez

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Elliott, Fabinho, Henderson; Salah, Jota, Diaz


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool

Burnley are under immense pressure to make their games in hand on the sides above them count for something, but it is difficult to see the goal-shy Clarets finding their way through a staunch Reds backline.

Salah and Mane's returns, Diaz's dazzling debut and Jota's red-hot streak makes for very pleasant reading for the travelling crowd, and Klopp should oversee another routine success at Turf Moor.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Burnley vs Liverpool

Burnley
12.8%
Draw
9.1%
Liverpool
78.1%
187
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Luis Diaz in action for Liverpool on February 6, 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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