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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Atlanta
0 - 1
Los Angeles


Lennon (26'), Mosquera (77')
Guzan (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bogusz (63')
Atuesta (10')
Atuesta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 18 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles have put together a fine run of results of late and will be backing themselves against an Atlanta side who have picked up just one point from their last four home games in the league. While we expect the Five Stripes to put up a fight, we predict that the visitors will do just enough secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
42.07% (0.131 0.13) 23.66% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 34.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.167 0.17)39.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.173 0.17)62.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.126 0.13)19.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.20800000000001 0.21)50.88% (-0.209 -0.21)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 42.07%
    Los Angeles FC 34.27%
    Draw 23.66%
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Los Angeles

Atlanta United
26.3%
Draw
10.5%
Los Angeles FC
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-0
Atlanta
Palacios (18'), Cifuentes (23'), Crisostomo (90+6')
Ibarra (28'), Rossetto (61'), Sanchez (70'), Fortune (85'), Wolff (90+4')
Aug 15, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 25
Atlanta
1-0
Los Angeles
Martinez (47')
Bello (85')

Atuesta (90+6')
Aug 16, 2020 8pm
Jul 27, 2019 3am
Los Angeles
4-3
Atlanta
Diomande (33'), Rossi (38'), Vela (41' pen.), Atuesta (45')
Adams (2'), Martinez (45'), Segura (51' og.)
Remedi (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Meram (80')
Apr 7, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 6
Atlanta
5-0
Los Angeles
Gressel (17'), Martinez (67'), Almiro (88' pen., 92' pen.), Williams (97')
McCann (1'), Almiro (48'), Williams (98')

Moutinho (90')
Moutinho (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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